ONTARIO ELECTION 2018 - FINAL WEEK, JUNE 1-JUNE 4: PCs HOLD EDGE IN STATISTICAL TIE WITH NDP

June 5, 2018 --- In the third update to our daily four-day roll-up tracking poll for Maclean's, the PCs (39%; +1) hold the edge in a statistical tie with the NDP (37%; unchanged) among decided voters. Meanwhile, the Liberals drop 3 points to 17%.

Notably, the 2-point PC lead is reliant upon a strong showing on June 2nd, whereas the NDP had a strong showing last night.

In field every day since May 30, this tracking poll has provided results based on our last 4 days of polling. Stay tuned tomorrow for our final poll of the campaign.

Read more:

Maclean's: Ford's Advance Poll Edge

Pollara: Methodology & Data Disclosure Brief

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ONTARIO ELECTION 2018 - FINAL WEEK, MAY 31-JUNE 3: DEAD HEAT CONTINUES

June 4, 2018 --- In the second update to our daily four-day roll-up tracking poll for Maclean's, the dead heat continues with a statistical tie between the PCs (38%; +1) and NDP (37%; unchanged). The Liberals remain at 20%, unchanged since yesterday's poll.

More than one-in-ten (13%; -1) Ontarians are undecided, with Election Day just days away.

In field every day since May 30, this tracking poll provides results based on our last 4 days of polling. Stay tuned for tomorrow's four-night roll-up tracking poll, which will be based on surveys conducted from June 1-4.

Read more:

Maclean's: Doug Ford gains an advantage

Pollara: Methodology & Data Disclosure Brief

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ONTARIO ELECTION 2018 – FINAL WEEK, MAY 30-JUNE 2: DEAD HEAT

June 3, 2018 --- Our latest Pollara - Maclean's Ontario Election poll, conducted May 30-June 2, reveals that the NDP post-debate blip has faded, as decided voter intentions have reverted to the NDP-PC dead heat of the pre-debate period, albeit with some important developments.

The NDP (37%; -6) and the PCs (37%; +5) are once again tied. The Liberals (20%; +3) remain in third place, posting some minor gains at the expense of the NDP. Although still the most favourably-viewed leader in the race, Andrea Horwath’s previously unassailable impression ratings have declined (positives down 16 points) in the week following the debate.

The proportion of Undecideds has increased – an unusual development at this stage in a campaign. But then, this campaign, with its volatile voter undercurrents, is anything but typical.

Read more:

Maclean's:  NDP & PCs in Dead Lock

Pollara: Methodology & Data Disclosure Brief

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