December 16, 2024 — Pollara’s groundbreaking mandate surveys in four Canadian provinces unpack what motivated voters in recent provincial elections, and their priorities for the new mandate.
Among the highlights:
- In British Columbia, we find that 44% of BC Conservative voters based part of their vote decision on wanting someone in charge who would stand up to Trudeau. We also see anti-Trudeau sentiment being a major factor for Sask Party (50%), New Brunswick PC (48%), and Nova Scotia PC (41%) voters.
- In Saskatchewan, Carla Beck is personally more popular than Scott Moe (+27 vs. +7), but the Sask Party brand was more resilient than the NDP brand (+21 vs. +3).
- 32% of New Brunswick Liberal voters are “excited” about the election result there, higher than the level of excitement in any of the three other provinces. They want to see action from the Holt government on her affordability and health care platform planks including a rent cap, cheaper power bills, mental health, and community care clinics.
- Turnout in Nova Scotia was low, and just 33% of eligible voters under 50 cast a ballot. Non-voters there are more likely than those in other provinces to feel like their vote wouldn’t make a difference.
See the methodology and full findings in our report.
