On the eve of BC’s provincial election, Pollara’s final tracking wave has the BC Conservatives ahead of the BC NDP 42% – 37% among decided voters, with the Greens at 13%. The race was tied at the start of the campaign (38% – 38%) and stood at 40% – 37% before the October 14 leaders’ debate.
Including undecided voters, it is BC Conservatives 36%, BC NDP 31%, with 8% undecided.
Projected popular vote
Not every party is running in every riding. Adjusting for the parties on the ballot in each riding, our projected popular vote is BC Conservatives 45%, BC NDP 39%, Greens 12%, One BC 2% and Centre BC 2%.
View the full report and detailed tables.
Pollara surveyed 2,202 British Columbians aged 18+ online and by IVR from October 15 to 21, 2026, all after the leaders’ debate. A probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 2.1%, 19 times out of 20.
Media inquiries: information@pollara.com
