May 16, 2019 — In our latest sounding of the Ontario political scene, the Ford PCs (30%) have posted a double-digit decline in decided vote intent compared to their 40.5% showing in last year’s Ontario provincial election. The NDP are at equal strength in terms of overall vote intent, and holding steady since 2018 (33.6%).  

Meanwhile, the Liberals have rebounded – from 19.6% at the 2018 ballot box to 26% now, despite being led by an interim leader (John Fraser). And, the Green Party is approaching a record high in public polling (11%) that doubles their share of the vote last year.    

For more analysis, see our report or today’s article in the Toronto Star.

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