January 15, 2020 – Our latest sounding of the Ontario provincial political landscape reveals that the Liberals are beginning the new year – and entering an upcoming leadership convention – in first place, with a slight lead over the PCs.
The Liberal brand (33%) remains strong in Ontario, as they continue to rebound from their 2018 electoral loss despite not yet having a new official leader. Since May 2019, the Liberals have increased their support among Ontario’s decided voters by 7 points, and by a total of 13 points since the 2018 election.
Conversely, the NDP (27%) have shed 4 points of support since May 2019, and a total of 7 points since 2018.
Meanwhile, the PCs (29%; -1) – who posted a double-digit decline in support in May 2019 compared to their 2018 election result – have stopped the bleeding and held steady.